SEEING THE INVISIBLE
National Security Intelligence in an Uncertain Age
by Thomas Quiggin (Nanyang Technological University, Singapore)
Table of Contents (242k)
Preface (249k)
Chapter 1: The plan of the Book (458k)
Tom Quiggin, M.A, C.D., is a court qualified expert on jihadism and currently is a Senior Fellow at the Centre of Excellence for National Security at the S. Rajaratnam School of International Studies (RSIS), Singapore. He has 20 years of practical experience in a variety of intelligence positions. He has worked in an intelligence capacity for the Royal Canadian Mounted Police, the Canadian Armed Forces, the United Nations Protection Force in Yugoslavia, Citizen and Immigration Canada (War Crimes), the International War Crimes Tribunal for the former Yugoslavia (The Hague), and the Privy Council Office of Canada. He was also a qualified arms control inspector for the Conventional Forces in Europe Treaty and the Vienna Document. He holds a Masters Degree in International Relations. He has a number of other publications on security and terrorism matters in Canada, Germany, the Netherlands, Singapore, the UK, and the USA.
Intelligence is critical to ensuring national security, especially with asymmetric threats making up most of the new challenges. Knowledge, rather than power, is the only weapon that can prevail in a complex and uncertain environment awash with asymmetric threats, some known, many currently unknown. This book shows how such a changing national security environment has had profound implications for the strategic intelligence requirements of states in the 21st century.
The book shows up the fallacy underlying the age-old assumption that intelligence agencies must do a better job of connecting the dots and avoiding future failures. It argues that this cannot and will not happen for a variety of reasons. Instead of seeking to predict discrete future events, the strategic intelligence community must focus rather on risk-based anticipatory warnings concerning the nature and impact of a range of potential threats. In this respect, the book argues for a full and creative exploitation of technology to support — but not supplant — the work of the strategic intelligence community, and illustrates this ideal with reference to Singapore's path-breaking Risk Assessment and Horizon Scanning (RAHS) program.
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